This week's class we focus our
discussion around family trends in the population. We watched, The New Economic
Reality Demographic Winter, which provided a good deal of different
information. To start out with, the video provided a gloomy feel to it with the
way the researchers provided information and the subtle music in the
background. What really surprised me was how in the beginning it talks about a
book called, The Population Bomb, and how it affected the human society. It
provides predictions that as the human population increases, the environment
would be harmed causing mass starvation soon. This is interesting to me because
more than fifty-two years after this was published the complete opposite
happened. Why? What brought this to happen? The bringing forth of this book
brought a huge impact to the people of those time. This impact was
psychological, people thought that having many children would be more harmful
than good. This led to a gradual decrease in the fertility rate according to
these researchers. I have always been a firm believer that life finds a way. I
know there are difficulties bound to happen, but there are happy days ahead of us
as well. This includes with having more children as well; I know that nothing
bad would happen by this increase. Now if the world continues to decrease in
fertility rates, the population may degrade back to what it was before the so-called
baby boom. Even now fertility rates are still low. Maybe this could be the
cause of those who believe in the same ideology, whether it be intentionally
after reading the book or just pure opinion. I believe that it should a natural
flow of life and that things books likes these bring harm to the human society.
Yes, it is important to be informed about the things going on in the world, but
too much information can be detrimental. One of the effects can be seen through
the fertility levels in states. Only two states had fertility levels above the
replacement level in 2017. The replacement level is the number of births needed
to maintain the population at its existing level. If this ideology is not affecting the fertility
rates, then what is causing this decline? In the video mentioned earlier, the professors
discussed that some of the causes of the decline in fertility rates was due to
the women’s revolution and the sexual revolution. Women were starting to go to
school more and get jobs requiring them to be away from home which was the opposite
than how it was before. The age in which women decide to get married effects the
population growth in a big way because of this change the age of marriage grew while
the fertility rate decreased. To me, I guess this was bound to happen and is a
natural phenomenon of this change. In the Sexual Revolution, the birth control
pill was created. Many were having sexual relations satisfy their intimate needs
with a partner that they did not marry. They did not have children and continuing
with life being single. When sex became separated from reproduction it affected
the fertility rate. This change led to less marriages and more individuals
living off on their own. The more individuals the world has the more there is a
fertility decline. This fertility decline affects the economy. The reason that the
economy is affected is because with more individuals staying off on their own
it affects the overall Gross Domestic Product. The Gross Domestic Product is
calculated through the product of the amount of people and productivity. Productivity
here is human capital. There may be the only hope for helping the economy go
stable, but it is a hard one. If there are broken families, we need to change it.
Through better family structure it will bring an increase in human capital.
Human capital is the skills, knowledge, and experience that someone has and is
viewed as value or cost to a country. I believe we can change right now if we
focus our attention to how we are teaching our children and what we are
teaching them.
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